青海电力需求的影响因素和指标分析

傅旭; 苗淼; 张祥成; 张鹏宇; 于德明; FU Xu; MIAO Miao; ZHANG Xiangcheng; ZHANG Pengyu; YU Deming

doi:10.16513/j.cnki.10-1427/tk.2018.03.006

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分布式能源 ›› 2018, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (3) : 34-41. DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.10-1427/tk.2018.03.006

青海电力需求的影响因素和指标分析

傅旭 ¹ ,
苗淼 ² ,
张祥成 ² ,
张鹏宇 ³ ,
于德明 ⁴ ,
FU Xu ¹ ,
MIAO Miao ² ,
ZHANG Xiangcheng ² ,
ZHANG Pengyu ³ ,
YU Deming ⁴

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Influencing Factors and Indicators of Electricity Consumption in Qinghai

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摘要

Electricity load forecasting is a basic content of power system planning. This paper adopts the data of the national economy and social statistics of Qinghai power grid for nearly 10 years to analyze the relationship between economic factors, industrial structure, population, urbanization rate, the growth of power demand in Qinghai and its electricity load increase; and then analyzes the development trend of electricity elastic coefficient, comprehensive energy consumption coefficient, per person living electricity consumption, industry output value per unit consumption, load utilization hours and other indicators. With the yearly 8760 hour load data of Qinghai power grid, the annual characteristic, seasonal characteristic and daily characteristic of the power load in Qinghai are summarized, and the characteristics and causes of the formation are analyzed. The research results provides an analytical basis for the medium-long term load forecasting, load characteristic analysis, the planning and design of power system and the development of power supply of Qinghai power grid.

关键词

电力需求预测 / 电力弹性系数 / 综合电耗 / 人均生活用电 / 负荷特性 / electricity load forecasting / power elasticity coefficient / comprehensive power consumption / per person living electricity consumption / load characteristic

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傅旭, 苗淼, 张祥成, 等. Influencing Factors and Indicators of Electricity Consumption in Qinghai[J]. 分布式能源. 2018, 3(3): 34-41 https://doi.org/10.16513/j.cnki.10-1427/tk.2018.03.006

[J]. Distributed Energy Resources. 2018, 3(3): 34-41 https://doi.org/10.16513/j.cnki.10-1427/tk.2018.03.006

中图分类号： TK 01

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