A Multi-Timescale Adaptive Dispatch Method for Virtual Power Plants Based on Multi-Source Uncertainty and Online Parameter Correction

HUO Feifan, LÜ You, TIAN Helu, LIAO Conglin

Distributed Energy ›› 0

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Distributed Energy ›› 0 DOI: 10.16513/J.2096-2185.DE.25100518

A Multi-Timescale Adaptive Dispatch Method for Virtual Power Plants Based on Multi-Source Uncertainty and Online Parameter Correction

  • HUO Feifan, LÜ You, TIAN Helu, LIAO Conglin
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Abstract

To address the scheduling failures, power imbalances, and economic losses in virtual power plants (VPPs) caused by multisource uncertainties—including stochastic renewable generation, load fluctuations, and parameter deviations—this paper develops a multi-timescale adaptive dispatch framework incorporating multi-source uncertainty modeling and online parameter correction. The framework employs two-stage robust optimization for day-ahead scheduling to generate a robust pre-dispatch plan, and introduces a state-feedback mechanism in the intra-day stage, where an improved quantum-inspired genetic algorithm is used to recursively correct critical parameters, thereby forming a closed-loop dispatch structure. Simulation experiments validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Results show that, under significant forecasting errors in renewable generation and electro-thermal loads, the method improves actual operational revenue by approximately 3.2% compared to conventional deterministic dispatch. Moreover, the online parameter correction strategy reduces system balancing costs by nearly 90% during most time periods. The framework effectively balances robustness, economic efficiency, and adaptability, offering a viable technical pathway for the secure and economical operation of VPPs under high uncertainty

Key words

virtual power plant / multi-source uncertainty / online parameter correction / multi-time scale scheduling / robust optimization / quantum genetic algorithm

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HUO Feifan, LÜ You, TIAN Helu, LIAO Conglin.
A Multi-Timescale Adaptive Dispatch Method for Virtual Power Plants Based on Multi-Source Uncertainty and Online Parameter Correction
[J]. Distributed Energy Resources. 0 https://doi.org/10.16513/J.2096-2185.DE.25100518

Funding

This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(52476009)
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